Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 06/07, 13:30
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Dinko Dinev
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Dinko Dinev; the market gives 78% to Ivan Ivanov (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Ivan Ivanov sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Dinko Dinev arrives on a 3-7 run.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1503 · Dinko Dinev 1513
| Ivan Ivanov | Dinko Dinev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dinko Dinev makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Dinko Dinev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.5 | 11.7-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Conor Gannon Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Zsombor Piros Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Radovan Michalik Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Vic |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Jaume Casas Blasi M25 Vic |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Dinko Dinev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Zach Stephens Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Naoki Tajima Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 21/06 | Viktor Markov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-9 | L |
| 24/05 | Romain Faucon M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Michael Geerts Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 18/04 | Drazen Petrovic UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/04 | Marko Nikolic UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/04 | Nikola Matovic UTR Pro Beograd · Clay |
1-2 | 14-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Dinko Dinev?
Our model gives 65% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.