Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Igor Marcondes
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Filip Jeff Planinsek; the market gives 66% to Igor Marcondes (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Filip Jeff Planinsek with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Igor Marcondes has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filip Jeff Planinsek 1560 · Igor Marcondes 1524
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Filip Jeff Planinsek dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 48.2% break avg.
Statistics
| Filip Jeff Planinsek | Igor Marcondes | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.9 | 15.1-12.9 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 78% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 37.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filip Jeff Planinsek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/07 | Aryan Shah M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Vincent Marysko M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/06 | Lucio Ratti M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 27/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 26/06 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Michael Gloeckler M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Igor Marcondes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 25/03 | Alex Barrena Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 11/03 | Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/03 | Jaime Faria Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/03 | Daniel Antonio Nunez Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/03 | Milledge Cossu Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/03 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/03 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filip Jeff Planinsek vs Igor Marcondes?
Our model gives 57% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.