Prediction: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Luca Castelnuovo
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong; the market gives 44% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (odds 2.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Luca Castelnuovo arrives on a 3-7 run.
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong (rating 1516 vs 1443).
- Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0–1 Luca Castelnuovo (1).
- Note: Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | Luca Castelnuovo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.1 | 8.8-11.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 50.6% | 40% |
H2H · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0 – 1 Luca Castelnuovo (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0–1 Luca Castelnuovo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/02/26 Challenger Chennai | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Alberto Lim M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Kai-I Wang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Thanapet Chanta M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Jia Hu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 21/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 20/05 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Karan Singh Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 12/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Luca Castelnuovo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Gabriel Ghetu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Milos Karol Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Fares Zakaria Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/06 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Semen Pankin Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Felix Balshaw M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Deni Hadzialijagic M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/05 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Wuxi · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong vs Luca Castelnuovo?
Our model gives 51% to Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.