Prediction: Theo Papamalamis vs William Jansen
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Theo Papamalamis; the market gives 56% to Theo Papamalamis (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Theo Papamalamis with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; William Jansen has piled up 5-5 in the same span.
| Theo Papamalamis | William Jansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1539 vs 1496).
- Head-to-head: Theo Papamalamis 1–0 William Jansen (1).
Statistics
| Theo Papamalamis | William Jansen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-9.5 | 10.8-9.9 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 75% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 37% |
H2H · Theo Papamalamis 1 – 0 William Jansen (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Theo Papamalamis 1–0 William Jansen
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/25 ITF M25 Ithaca | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Papamalamis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Giammarco Gandolfi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 18/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Louis Van Herck M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/06 | Kai Wehnelt M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
William Jansen
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sam Ryan Ziegann Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/06 | Dev Javia M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 13/06 | Remy Bertola Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/01 | Sachin Palta UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/01 | Jordan Chang UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/01 | Liam Kilmer UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/01 | Cyrus Ahmad UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/11 | Aidan Kim ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Ilija Palavestra ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Papamalamis vs William Jansen?
Our model gives 56% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.