Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Filippo Romano vs Max Basing
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Filippo Romano; the market gives 56% to Filippo Romano (odds 1.67).
Over their last 10 matches, Filippo Romano sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Max Basing arrives on a 3-7 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Filippo Romano 1511 · Max Basing 1485
| Filippo Romano | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Max Basing makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Filippo Romano | Max Basing | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 56% (9) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.7 | 10.4-13.8 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 33% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Filippo Romano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 20/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/06 | Felix Gill Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Alastair Gray Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Max Basing
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Shintaro Mochizuki Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 3-18 | L |
| 25/06 | Remy Bertola Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 24-23 | W |
| 24/06 | Tom Gentzsch Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Francesco Maestrelli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 31/05 | Martin Damm Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/04 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 6-8 | L |
| 31/03 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/02 | Gauthier Onclin M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Filippo Romano vs Max Basing?
Our model gives 55% to Filippo Romano, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.