Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Patrick Zahraj vs Henry Searle
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Henry Searle; the market gives 87% to Henry Searle (odds 1.08).
On recent form, Patrick Zahraj is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Henry Searle 7-3 over theirs.
78%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patrick Zahraj 1450 · Henry Searle 1575
| Patrick Zahraj | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Henry Searle (rating 1450 vs 1575).
- Henry Searle dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 44.1% break avg.
- Henry Searle is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Patrick Zahraj makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Patrick Zahraj | Henry Searle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Grass | – | 86% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11 | 13.4-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 79.7% |
| Break % | 34.4% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patrick Zahraj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Justin Schlageter M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/05 | Nemanja Malesevic M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Freddie Ridout M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 11-2 | W |
| 02/05 | Anton Matusevich M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Henry Lieberman M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/04 | Toby Martin M25 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Henry Searle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Vilius Gaubas Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/06 | Kyrian Jacquet Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Elias Ymer Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 05/06 | Karl Poling Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patrick Zahraj vs Henry Searle?
Our model gives 78% to Henry Searle, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.