Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Arda Azkara vs Oliver Bonding
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Oliver Bonding; the market gives 59% to Oliver Bonding (odds 1.57).
Recent form leaves Arda Azkara with 4 wins and 6 losses over 10 games; Oliver Bonding has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
59%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arda Azkara 1498 · Oliver Bonding 1561
| Arda Azkara | Oliver Bonding | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Bonding (rating 1498 vs 1561).
- Note: Arda Azkara makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Arda Azkara | Oliver Bonding | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.6 | 12.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arda Azkara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Matias Reyniak M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 05/06 | Khololwam Montsi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Filip Peliwo Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 24/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Cagan Efe Tufekci M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Christof Schaertlin Coffey M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/02 | Tyler Zink Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Oliver Bonding
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Federico Coria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Alexander Rozin M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/06 | Dmitry Popko M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Marko Mesarovic M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Justin Roberts M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Arseneault M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/12 | Patrick Schoen M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 18/12 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/12 | Ludvig Fredrik Hede M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arda Azkara vs Oliver Bonding?
Our model gives 59% to Oliver Bonding, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.