Prediction: Oscar Weightman vs Alastair Gray
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Oscar Weightman; the market gives 79% to Alastair Gray (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Oscar Weightman is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alastair Gray 6-4 over theirs.
| Oscar Weightman | Alastair Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Oscar Weightman dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 41.7% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Oscar Weightman 0–4 Alastair Gray (4).
Statistics
| Oscar Weightman | Alastair Gray | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.5 | 12.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 43.6% |
H2H · Oscar Weightman 0 – 4 Alastair Gray (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oscar Weightman 0–4 Alastair Gray
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/25 ITF M15 Dublin | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07/24 ITF M25 Roehampton | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05/22 M25 Nottingham | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/01/22 UK Pro League | 0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oscar Weightman
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 26/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Edward Winter M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Carles Hernandez M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Darrshan Suresh M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Luca Nardi Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Devin Badenhorst Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Keshav Chopra Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 31/05 | Dylan Salton Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/05 | Luc Koenig Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Alastair Gray
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/06 | August Holmgren Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/06 | James Watt Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/06 | Henry Jefferson Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Edward Winter Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/05 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Mukund Sasikumar Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 20/05 | Dominik Palan Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/05 | Aradhya Kshitij Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oscar Weightman vs Alastair Gray?
Our model gives 65% to Alastair Gray, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.