Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 07/07, 12:00
Prediction: Daniel De Jonge vs Emile Hudd
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Daniel De Jonge; the market gives 58% to Emile Hudd (odds 1.61).
Recent form leaves Daniel De Jonge with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Emile Hudd has piled up 6-4 in the same span.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel De Jonge 1553 · Emile Hudd 1520
| Daniel De Jonge | Emile Hudd | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniel De Jonge dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Emile Hudd dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 46.6% break avg.
- Note: Daniel De Jonge makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Daniel De Jonge | Emile Hudd | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.6 | 12.6-12.6 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 6.8 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel De Jonge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/05 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Thomas George Brun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/04 | Yurii Dzhavakian M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/04 | Michal Krajci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-12 | L |
Emile Hudd
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Goncalo Marques M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Francisco Rocha M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Pablo Roche Alcaya M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 11/06 | Bernardo Munk Mesa M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Xavi Palomar M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/05 | Miles Jones M25 Nottingham |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Alexis Canter M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel De Jonge vs Emile Hudd?
Our model gives 52% to Emile Hudd, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.