Tennis · W100 Cary · 06/07, 01:30
Prediction: Savannah Broadus vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Savannah Broadus; the market gives 49% to Savannah Broadus (odds 1.91).
Over their last 10 matches, Savannah Broadus sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Lucrezia Stefanini arrives on a 5-5 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Savannah Broadus 1621 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1550
| Savannah Broadus | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Savannah Broadus (rating 1621 vs 1550).
- Savannah Broadus is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Savannah Broadus | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-7.8 | 10.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 55.6% |
| Break % | 52.7% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Savannah Broadus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Ena Koike W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Lea Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Fangran Tian W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Katrina Scott W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Peangtarn Plipuech W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/06 | Brandy Walker W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Rome |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Alicia Herrero Linana W35 Rome |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Mary Lewis W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/06 | Aliona Falei W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Haruka Kaji W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuki Naito W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Luisina Giovannini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Lucia Bronzetti French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Savannah Broadus vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 54% to Savannah Broadus, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.