Tennis · W100 Cary · 02/07, 16:30

Prediction: Savannah Broadus vs Fangran Tian

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 67% to Savannah Broadus; the market gives 44% to Savannah Broadus (odds 2.10).

Recent form leaves Savannah Broadus with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Fangran Tian has piled up 6-4 in the same span.

54%1
54% 46%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Savannah Broadus 1619 · Fangran Tian 1498
Savannah BroadusFangran Tian
Our model67%33%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Savannah Broadus (rating 1619 vs 1498).
  • Savannah Broadus is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Savannah BroadusFangran Tian
Win %90%50%
Win % · Hard 100% (7) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.31.2-1
Games (G-P)12.2-6.110.2-9.1
Aces2.80.7
Double faults1.22.5
1st serve %74.8%58%
Break %54.4%48.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Savannah Broadus

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Katrina Scott
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Peangtarn Plipuech
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/06 Brandy Walker
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-0 W
26/06 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W35 Rome
0-2 10-13 L
25/06 Alicia Herrero Linana
W35 Rome
2-0 13-7 W
23/06 Mary Lewis
W35 Rome
2-0 12-1 W
14/06 Aliona Falei
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-1 13-13 W
13/06 Katarina Kuzmova
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
12/06 Matilde Jorge
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
11/06 Yeon Woo Ku
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W

Fangran Tian

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Kylie Collins
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
26/06 Amandine Hesse
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
1-2 11-17 L
25/06 Viola Turini
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Belle Thompson
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Alina Korneeva
WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Ariana Arseneault
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
10/06 Diana Marcinkevica
W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/05 Haruka Kaji
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
20/05 Elena Micic
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/05 Victoria Milovanova
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Savannah Broadus vs Fangran Tian?

Our model gives 54% to Savannah Broadus, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.