Prediction: Kristina Liutova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 66% to Kristina Liutova; the market gives 65% to Kristina Liutova (odds 1.44).
On recent form, Kristina Liutova is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Lucrezia Stefanini 4-6 over theirs.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Liutova 1626 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1510
| Kristina Liutova | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1626 vs 1510).
- Kristina Liutova is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kristina Liutova | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (7) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.3 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-7.2 | 10.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 5 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.3% | 53.2% |
| Break % | 63.4% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Liutova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/06 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/06 | Eryn Cayetano W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Carolyn Ansari W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/05 | Julia Riera W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/05 | Jazmin Ortenzi W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/05 | Arantxa Rus W100 Indian Harbour Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Haruka Kaji W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Yuki Naito W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Katarzyna Kawa Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Luisina Giovannini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/06 | Yeon Woo Ku WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Lucia Bronzetti French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Alina Charaeva French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/05 | Polona Hercog W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Liutova vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 65% to Kristina Liutova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.