Prediction: Mia Slama vs Yexin Ma
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Mia Slama; the market gives 69% to Yexin Ma (odds 1.36).
Recent form leaves Mia Slama with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Yexin Ma has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mia Slama 1531 · Yexin Ma 1477
| Mia Slama | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mia Slama (rating 1531 vs 1477).
- Mia Slama is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Yexin Ma makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Mia Slama | Yexin Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.5 | 9.2-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.9% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 59.4% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mia Slama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Cadence Brace W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 19/06 | Marie Vogt W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Juliette Trunet W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/06 | Salma Djoubri W15 Merzig · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/01 | Ema Burgic UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/01 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/12 | Victoria Bervid UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/12 | Katerina Shabashkevich UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Yexin Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Momoko Kobori W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Erika Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Xinxin Yao W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Lulu Sun French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/05 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 27/04 | Wushuang Zheng WTA Huzhou · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Himeno Sakatsume W100 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mia Slama vs Yexin Ma?
Our model gives 57% to Yexin Ma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.