Tennis · WTA Newport · 05/07, 16:30
Prediction: Momoko Kobori vs Mary Lewis
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Momoko Kobori; the market gives 83% to Momoko Kobori (odds 1.13).
Recent form leaves Momoko Kobori with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Mary Lewis has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
73%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Momoko Kobori 1528 · Mary Lewis 1450
| Momoko Kobori | Mary Lewis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Momoko Kobori (rating 1528 vs 1450).
- Momoko Kobori is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Mary Lewis makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Momoko Kobori | Mary Lewis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.5 | 7.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 51.8% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Momoko Kobori
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Yexin Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 30/06 | Victoria Osuigwe W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Anastasia Kulikova WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Carmen Lopez Martinez WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 08/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Katy Dunne WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/05 | Yuki Naito W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Hikaru Sato W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Mei Yamaguchi W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Ikumi Yamazaki W100 Takasaki · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Mary Lewis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Ana Grubor W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/06 | Savannah Broadus W35 Rome |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Amelie Van Impe W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Brandy Walker W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/03 | Ioana Teodora Sava W35 Jackson · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/03 | Maria Garcia Cid W15 Gonesse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Xinxin Yao W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/02 | Emily Seibold W75 Trnava |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/02 | Victoria Hu WTA Midland · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Momoko Kobori vs Mary Lewis?
Our model gives 73% to Momoko Kobori, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.