Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 05/07, 16:30
Prediction: Nikola Slavic vs Finn Bass
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Nikola Slavic; the market gives 49% to Nikola Slavic (odds 1.91).
On recent form, Nikola Slavic is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Finn Bass 6-4 over theirs.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikola Slavic 1483 · Finn Bass 1460
| Nikola Slavic | Finn Bass | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Finn Bass dominates on serve: 8.6 aces and 42% break avg.
- Note: Finn Bass makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Nikola Slavic | Finn Bass | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.5 | 11.1-13.3 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 36% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikola Slavic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Luca Wiedenmann M15 Store |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Matic Dimic M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Nik Mikovic M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Stepan Baum M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Karl Friberg M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Oskar Brostrom Poulsen M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/05 | Eric Vanshelboim M15 Doboj · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/05 | Yannik Kelm M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Finn Bass
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Keegan Smith Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 22/03 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Split · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/02 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Baton Rouge · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Matt Kuhar Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/02 | Ryan Fishback Challenger Cleveland · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/01 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Glasgow · Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 04/01 | James Story Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/11 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Playford · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/11 | Pavle Marinkov Challenger Playford · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 23/11 | Shinji Hazawa Challenger Playford · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikola Slavic vs Finn Bass?
Our model gives 51% to Nikola Slavic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.