Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 05/07, 16:30
Prediction: Liam Hignett vs Michael Zhu
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 65% to Liam Hignett; the market gives 65% to Michael Zhu (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Liam Hignett sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Michael Zhu arrives on a 4-6 run.
51%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Hignett 1541 · Michael Zhu 1437
| Liam Hignett | Michael Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Liam Hignett (rating 1541 vs 1437).
- Liam Hignett is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Liam Hignett | Michael Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.5 | 9.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 64% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 35.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Hignett
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Nikola Djukic Valera M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Marc Ros Mesas M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Peio Del Nido M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-8 | W |
| 17/05 | Nicola Cigna UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/05 | Conor Flynn UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/05 | Ewen Lumsden UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Alvar Lange UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/05 | Thomas Pudney UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 11/05 | Finlay Watters UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Michael Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Jade Challenger Royan · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Daniel De Jonge Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/06 | Mark Vervoort Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 31/05 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 24/05 | Thando Longwe-Smit Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Liam Delicata M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Tiago Pereira M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Karol Malirz M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Hignett vs Michael Zhu?
Our model gives 51% to Michael Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.