Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 05/07, 13:30
Prediction: Ryan Seggerman vs Ali Habib
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Ryan Seggerman; the market gives 86% to Ryan Seggerman (odds 1.10).
On recent form, Ryan Seggerman is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Ali Habib 3-7 over theirs.
75%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Seggerman 1546 · Ali Habib 1463
| Ryan Seggerman | Ali Habib | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryan Seggerman (rating 1546 vs 1463).
- Ryan Seggerman is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ryan Seggerman | Ali Habib | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-13.4 | 10.1-12.7 |
| Aces | 11.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 23.1% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Seggerman
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Laslo Djere Challenger Parma · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Wiedenmann Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/06 | Marko Topo Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 31/05 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Perugia · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/05 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Jay Clarke Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 07/05 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 05/05 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/05 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Ali Habib
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Alexander Frusina M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 17/06 | Milan Ristov M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 09/06 | Samuel Vincent Ruggeri M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 13/05 | Filippo Francesco Garbero M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 28/04 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/04 | Anas Mazdrashki M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Rocco Valente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Seggerman vs Ali Habib?
Our model gives 75% to Ryan Seggerman, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.