Tennis · Challenger Nottingham · 05/07, 16:30
Prediction: Ivan Ivanov vs Conor Gannon
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Conor Gannon; the market gives 69% to Ivan Ivanov (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Ivan Ivanov sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Conor Gannon arrives on a 5-5 run.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ivan Ivanov 1482 · Conor Gannon 1514
| Ivan Ivanov | Conor Gannon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Ivan Ivanov | Conor Gannon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 32% | 40.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivan Ivanov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Zsombor Piros Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Kosice · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Alafia Ayeni Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Radovan Michalik Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Lorenzo Carboni Challenger Cervia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/05 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Vic |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 14/05 | Jamie Mackenzie M25 Vic |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/05 | Jaume Casas Blasi M25 Vic |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Conor Gannon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 13/06 | Doni Gashi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Rihards Neimanis Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Kanan Gasimov Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Simon Knezevic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Leo Raquillet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivan Ivanov vs Conor Gannon?
Our model gives 58% to Ivan Ivanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.