Tennis · Challenger Troyes · 05/07, 14:30
Prediction: Kilian Feldbausch vs Marvin Moeller
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Kilian Feldbausch; the market gives 75% to Kilian Feldbausch (odds 1.25).
Recent form leaves Kilian Feldbausch with 9 wins and 1 losses over 10 games; Marvin Moeller has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kilian Feldbausch 1616 · Marvin Moeller 1601
| Kilian Feldbausch | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Kilian Feldbausch | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.1 | 12.6-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 70.5% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kilian Feldbausch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/06 | Laurent Lokoli Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/05 | Martin Krumich Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 30/05 | Dali Blanch Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Mickael Kaouk Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Tom Zeuch M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 25/06 | David Tixhon M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Leo Deflandre M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Jan Kumstat M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kilian Feldbausch vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 65% to Kilian Feldbausch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.