Tennis · Challenger Troyes · 03/07, 10:30

Prediction: Marvin Moeller vs Marat Sharipov

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Marvin Moeller; the market gives 58% to Marat Sharipov (odds 1.61).

On recent form, Marvin Moeller is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Marat Sharipov 8-2 over theirs.

54%2
46% 54%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marvin Moeller 1538 · Marat Sharipov 1530
Marvin MoellerMarat Sharipov
Our model51%49%
Market42%58%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Marvin Moeller 0–1 Marat Sharipov (1).

Statistics

Marvin MoellerMarat Sharipov
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.3-8.912-9.8
Aces2.15.7
Double faults22.7
1st serve %68%72.4%
Break %47.4%42.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

H2H · Marvin Moeller 01 Marat Sharipov (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marvin Moeller 01 Marat Sharipov

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DateSetsGamesRes.
28/04/23
ITF M15 Meerbusch
0-28-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marvin Moeller

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Mickael Kaouk
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
27/06 Dylan Dietrich
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
26/06 Tom Zeuch
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-1 19-14 W
25/06 David Tixhon
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/06 Leo Deflandre
M25 Brussels · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
12/06 Jan Kumstat
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
11/06 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
10/06 Radek Chodora
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
05/06 Luka Mikrut
Challenger Heilbronn · Clay
1-2 15-18 L

Marat Sharipov

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/06 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
13/06 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
1-2 16-14 L
13/06 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
12/06 Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
10/06 Mirza Basic
M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
27/05 Simeon Stankovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-11 L
18/05 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Istanbul · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
03/05 Shinji Hazawa
Challenger Wuxi · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
30/04 Mark Lajal
Challenger Jiujiang · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
29/04 Bernard Tomic
Challenger Jiujiang · Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marvin Moeller vs Marat Sharipov?

Our model gives 54% to Marat Sharipov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.