Tennis · Challenger Troyes · 02/07, 12:00
Prediction: Maxime Chazal vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre; the market gives 78% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Maxime Chazal sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Inaki Montes-De La Torre arrives on a 7-3 run.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxime Chazal 1540 · Inaki Montes-De La Torre 1592
| Maxime Chazal | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inaki Montes-De La Torre (rating 1540 vs 1592).
- Note: Inaki Montes-De La Torre makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Maxime Chazal | Inaki Montes-De La Torre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.8-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.7 | 13.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 70.3% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 62.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxime Chazal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/06 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 28/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Alec Deckers M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/05 | Noah Karma M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/05 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 27/06 | Sandro Kopp Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 26/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/06 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Imanol Lopez Morillo Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/05 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Tunis · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Federico Cina Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Max Houkes Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxime Chazal vs Inaki Montes-De La Torre?
Our model gives 69% to Inaki Montes-De La Torre, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.