Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem (W) · 07/07, 16:10
Prediction: Aya Manning vs Mary Grace Rennard
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 57% to Aya Manning; the market gives 75% to Aya Manning (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Aya Manning sits at 3-7 (W-L), while Mary Grace Rennard arrives on a 1-9 run.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aya Manning 1441 · Mary Grace Rennard 1395
| Aya Manning | Mary Grace Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aya Manning (rating 1441 vs 1395).
- Note: Aya Manning makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Aya Manning | Mary Grace Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 10% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.1 | 6.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 49.7% | 49% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aya Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Kohana Darroch UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Simone Kay UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Letizia Corsini UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/06 | Alina Shcherbinina UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/03 | Veronika Kliuch UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/02 | Sofiia Sokolvak UTR Pro Henderson Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Mary Grace Rennard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Tzeng Mu-Jie UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Theodora Xantava UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/12 | Rachel Wu UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/12 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/12 | Dalayna Hewitt UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 12/12 | Daniela Chica UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/12 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 11/12 | Athina Schlepphorst UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aya Manning vs Mary Grace Rennard?
Our model gives 67% to Aya Manning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.