Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem (W) · 07/07, 15:00
Prediction: Nicole Okhtenberg vs Valerie Shue
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 61% to Valerie Shue; the market gives 81% to Valerie Shue (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Nicole Okhtenberg sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Valerie Shue arrives on a 8-2 run.
72%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicole Okhtenberg 1475 · Valerie Shue 1556
| Nicole Okhtenberg | Valerie Shue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valerie Shue (rating 1475 vs 1556).
- Valerie Shue is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Nicole Okhtenberg 0–1 Valerie Shue (1).
Statistics
| Nicole Okhtenberg | Valerie Shue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-10.4 | 11.1-7.8 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 25% | 47.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Nicole Okhtenberg 0 – 1 Valerie Shue (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicole Okhtenberg 0–1 Valerie Shue
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 UTR Pro Boca Raton Women | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicole Okhtenberg
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Kolie Allen UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Kaiden Greer UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Tanika Saravanan UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/06 | Alden Russell UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/02 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 26/02 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Victoria Bervid UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/02 | Abigail Rencheli UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/01 | Mia Slama UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Valerie Shue
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Vivian Yang UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Victoria Mann UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/06 | Anna Grigoreva UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Linda Ziets Segura UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/06 | Heidi Bulger UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-7 | W |
| 27/02 | Carolina Bohrer Martins UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 26/02 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/02 | Briley Rhoden UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/02 | Abigail Rencheli UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 23/02 | Victoria Bervid UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicole Okhtenberg vs Valerie Shue?
Our model gives 72% to Valerie Shue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.