Tennis · M15 Amstelveen · 05/07, 12:30

Prediction: Pieter De Lange vs Jakub Nicod

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Pieter De Lange; the market gives 79% to Jakub Nicod (odds 1.17).

Over their last 10 matches, Pieter De Lange sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Jakub Nicod arrives on a 8-2 run.

65%2
35% 65%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pieter De Lange 1577 · Jakub Nicod 1563
Pieter De LangeJakub Nicod
Our model52%48%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Pieter De LangeJakub Nicod
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.91.6-0.7
Games (G-P)14-10.812-8.2
Aces2.33
Double faults3.21.7
1st serve %67.4%67.8%
Break %58.9%48.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pieter De Lange

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Abel Forger
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 16-12 W
01/07 Alexandre Aubriot
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 18-18 W
28/06 Marc Majdandzic
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
27/06 Manel Lazaro Juncadella
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/06 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Louis Tessa
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
24/06 Pranav Karthik
M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
2-1 19-12 W
21/06 Marlon Vankan
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
20/06 Moritz Kudernatsch
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
19/06 Nikolai Barsukov
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 17-13 W

Jakub Nicod

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/07 Hazem Naw
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 10-3 W
03/07 Gabriele Maria Noce
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
02/07 Yannic Nittmann
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Steffan Van Weldam
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
10/06 Jakub Filip
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
27/05 Duje Ajdukovic
M25 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 14-14 L
16/05 Filip Cristian Jianu
M25 Louny · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/05 Jeremy Schifris
M25 Louny · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
14/05 Marvin Moeller
M25 Louny · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
12/05 Adam Soukup
M25 Louny · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pieter De Lange vs Jakub Nicod?

Our model gives 65% to Jakub Nicod, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.