Tennis · M15 Amstelveen · 03/07, 11:00

Prediction: Gabriele Maria Noce vs Jakub Nicod

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Gabriele Maria Noce; the market gives 83% to Jakub Nicod (odds 1.13).

Recent form leaves Gabriele Maria Noce with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Jakub Nicod has piled up 8-2 in the same span.

68%2
32% 68%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Maria Noce 1531 · Jakub Nicod 1531
Gabriele Maria NoceJakub Nicod
Our model50%50%
Market17%83%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Gabriele Maria Noce 0–1 Jakub Nicod (1).

Statistics

Gabriele Maria NoceJakub Nicod
Win %60%60%
Win % · Clay 60% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11.3-1012.1-9.9
Aces1.82.7
Double faults2.72
1st serve %63%65.4%
Break %59.6%47.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

H2H · Gabriele Maria Noce 01 Jakub Nicod (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gabriele Maria Noce 01 Jakub Nicod

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DateSetsGamesRes.
27/09/23
ITF M15 Arad
0-29-13L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Maria Noce

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Stijn Paardekooper
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
01/07 Dax Donders
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
24/06 Brian Bozemoj
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
20/06 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
19/06 Savva Rybkin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
18/06 Milan Ristov
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
17/06 Rocco Valente
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
04/06 Calvin Mueller
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
28/05 Lucio Ratti
M25 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
27/05 Gilberto Ravasio
M25 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Jakub Nicod

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Yannic Nittmann
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/07 Steffan Van Weldam
M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
10/06 Jakub Filip
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
27/05 Duje Ajdukovic
M25 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 14-14 L
16/05 Filip Cristian Jianu
M25 Louny · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/05 Jeremy Schifris
M25 Louny · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
14/05 Marvin Moeller
M25 Louny · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
12/05 Adam Soukup
M25 Louny · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
27/04 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
26/04 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Ostrava · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Maria Noce vs Jakub Nicod?

Our model gives 68% to Jakub Nicod, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.