Tennis · M15 Amstelveen · 02/07, 11:00
Prediction: Brian Bozemoj vs Abel Forger
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Brian Bozemoj; the market gives 63% to Abel Forger (odds 1.50).
Over their last 10 matches, Brian Bozemoj sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Abel Forger arrives on a 8-2 run.
57%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brian Bozemoj 1549 · Abel Forger 1548
| Brian Bozemoj | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Brian Bozemoj | Abel Forger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.5 | 12.4-9.4 |
| Aces | 2 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 58.4% | 54.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brian Bozemoj
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Louis Wessels M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/06 | Ben Stecker M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 27/04 | Iiro Vasa M15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 17/03 | Yurii Dzhavakian M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 11/03 | Sidharth Rawat M25 Kolkata · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/02 | Jan Kumstat M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/02 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/02 | Patrik Homola M25 Pszczyna · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Abel Forger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Lars Wagenaar M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/06 | Bercel Sandor Takacs M15 Gyula · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/11 | Yaroslav Demin ITF M15 Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 23/11 | Cyril Vandermeersch ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/11 | Gabriele Bosio ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/11 | Benjamin Winter Lopez ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/11 | Pavel Lagutin ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/11 | Maximilian Borisov ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/11 | Jack Loge M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brian Bozemoj vs Abel Forger?
Our model gives 57% to Abel Forger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.