Tennis · M15 Amstelveen · 03/07, 11:00
Prediction: Pietro Marino vs Hazem Naw
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Hazem Naw; the market gives 73% to Hazem Naw (odds 1.28).
On recent form, Pietro Marino is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Hazem Naw 9-1 over theirs.
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pietro Marino 1487 · Hazem Naw 1540
| Pietro Marino | Hazem Naw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hazem Naw (rating 1487 vs 1540).
- Note: Hazem Naw makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Pietro Marino | Hazem Naw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-10.9 | 11.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 45.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pietro Marino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Sydney Zick M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/06 | Adam Lynch M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Oliver Crawford M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Aaron Gil Garcia M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/04 | Tim Handel M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Yanaki Milev M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Hazem Naw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Pranav Karthik M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/04 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/04 | Giorgio Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/04 | Carl Holder M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/03 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/03 | Mae Malige M25 Saint Dizier · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/03 | Anton Matusevich M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 12/03 | Daniel Masur M25 Creteil · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pietro Marino vs Hazem Naw?
Our model gives 66% to Hazem Naw, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.