Tennis · W35 Amstelveen · 05/07, 11:00
Prediction: Anouck Vrancken Peeters vs Weronika Falkowska
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Weronika Falkowska; the market gives 54% to Weronika Falkowska (odds 1.73).
Over their last 10 matches, Anouck Vrancken Peeters sits at 7-3 (W-L), while Weronika Falkowska arrives on a 7-3 run.
56%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anouck Vrancken Peeters 1522 · Weronika Falkowska 1578
| Anouck Vrancken Peeters | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Weronika Falkowska (rating 1522 vs 1578).
- Weronika Falkowska is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Anouck Vrancken Peeters makes many double faults (8.6/match).
Statistics
| Anouck Vrancken Peeters | Weronika Falkowska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.6 | 11.9-7.5 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 8.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 52.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anouck Vrancken Peeters
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/05 | Carolina Alves W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Alice Rame W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Weronika Falkowska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Carmen Andreea Herea W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivana Sebestova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Daria Gorska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Sara Husar W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Amelia Paszun W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anouck Vrancken Peeters vs Weronika Falkowska?
Our model gives 56% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.