Tennis · W35 Amstelveen · 03/07, 12:30
Prediction: Sandra Samir vs Carmen Andreea Herea
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Sandra Samir; the market gives 66% to Carmen Andreea Herea (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Sandra Samir is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Carmen Andreea Herea 5-5 over theirs.
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandra Samir 1555 · Carmen Andreea Herea 1539
| Sandra Samir | Carmen Andreea Herea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sandra Samir makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Carmen Andreea Herea makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Sandra Samir | Carmen Andreea Herea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-7.5 | 11.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandra Samir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Linea Bajraliu W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniela Vismane W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Prathyusha Rachapudi W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/05 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Wilva Chan W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Magdalena Hedrzak W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/05 | Elina Nepliy W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Zoziya Kardava W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 13/05 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Carmen Andreea Herea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Nina Vargova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Rikke De Koning W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Luna Maria Cinalli W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Angelica Raggi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Nina Radovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/04 | Kristina Mladenovic Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/02 | Whitney Osuigwe WTA Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandra Samir vs Carmen Andreea Herea?
Our model gives 58% to Carmen Andreea Herea, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.