Tennis · W35 Amstelveen · 04/07, 12:30
Prediction: Weronika Falkowska vs Carmen Andreea Herea
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Weronika Falkowska; the market gives 59% to Weronika Falkowska (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Weronika Falkowska is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Carmen Andreea Herea 6-4 over theirs.
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weronika Falkowska 1581 · Carmen Andreea Herea 1556
| Weronika Falkowska | Carmen Andreea Herea | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Carmen Andreea Herea makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Weronika Falkowska | Carmen Andreea Herea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-6.9 | 12.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weronika Falkowska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Alena Kovackova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivana Sebestova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Daria Gorska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Sara Husar W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Amelia Paszun W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Sonja Zhenikhova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Carmen Andreea Herea
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sandra Samir W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Giorgia Pedone W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Nina Vargova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Rikke De Koning W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Luna Maria Cinalli W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Angelica Raggi W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/05 | Nina Radovanovic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/04 | Kristina Mladenovic Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weronika Falkowska vs Carmen Andreea Herea?
Our model gives 57% to Weronika Falkowska, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.