Tennis · W35 Amstelveen · 03/07, 10:00
Prediction: Weronika Falkowska vs Alena Kovackova
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Alena Kovackova; the market gives 69% to Alena Kovackova (odds 1.36).
Over their last 10 matches, Weronika Falkowska sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Alena Kovackova arrives on a 8-2 run.
61%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Weronika Falkowska 1556 · Alena Kovackova 1566
| Weronika Falkowska | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Weronika Falkowska | Alena Kovackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7.5 | 11.1-7.6 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 46.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Weronika Falkowska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Francesca Pace W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ivana Sebestova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/06 | Daria Gorska W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Sara Husar W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Amelia Paszun W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Sonja Zhenikhova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Alena Kovackova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Eva Marie Voracek W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Carolina Alves W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Valeriya Strakhova W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/06 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/06 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/06 | Julia Avdeeva W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 01/06 | Beatrice Ricci W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 31/05 | Sara Milanese W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Weronika Falkowska vs Alena Kovackova?
Our model gives 61% to Alena Kovackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.