Tennis · W15 Monastir · 05/07, 10:00
Prediction: Eliz Maloney vs Emily Sartz-Lunde
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Eliz Maloney; the market gives 63% to Eliz Maloney (odds 1.50).
On recent form, Eliz Maloney is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Emily Sartz-Lunde 6-4 over theirs.
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eliz Maloney 1575 · Emily Sartz-Lunde 1563
| Eliz Maloney | Emily Sartz-Lunde | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Eliz Maloney makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Emily Sartz-Lunde makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Eliz Maloney | Emily Sartz-Lunde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-7.5 | 11.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 62.9% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 48.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eliz Maloney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/07 | Esther Adeshina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Chahd Tourkhani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/05 | Emily Appleton W35 Nottingham |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/05 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Nottingham |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/05 | Mia Wainwright W35 Nottingham |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Zainab Williams W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/05 | Olivia Gram W35 Nottingham Qual |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/04 | Solymar Colling W50 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Nada Fouad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eliz Maloney vs Emily Sartz-Lunde?
Our model gives 58% to Eliz Maloney, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.