Tennis · W15 Monastir · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Amelie Smejkalova vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Amelie Smejkalova
Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Amelie Smejkalova
5-5 (W-L)
Sofia Camila Rojas
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Amelie Smejkalova
0–1
Sofia Camila Rojas
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amelie Smejkalova 1551 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1584
| Amelie Smejkalova | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Amelie Smejkalova 0–1 Sofia Camila Rojas (1).
- Note: Sofia Camila Rojas makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Amelie Smejkalova | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.2 | 1.7-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.1 | 14-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 60.8% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Amelie Smejkalova 0 – 1 Sofia Camila Rojas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amelie Smejkalova 0–1 Sofia Camila Rojas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 W15 Monastir | 1-2 | 8-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amelie Smejkalova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Hania Abouelsaad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justine Bretnacher W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Melisa Ercan W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Arina Yakusheva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 15/11 | Bella Payne ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/11 | Emma Charney ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 13/11 | Deniz Dilek ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Sofia Camila Rojas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Chelsea Fontenel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/01 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/01 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/01 | Hayden Mulberry UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amelie Smejkalova vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Our model gives 64% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.