Tennis · W15 Monastir · 14/07, 13:00
Prediction: Sara Milanese vs Emily Sartz-Lunde
Prediction summary
Winner
Sara Milanese
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Sara Milanese
4-6 (W-L)
Emily Sartz-Lunde
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sara Milanese 1496 · Emily Sartz-Lunde 1582
| Sara Milanese | Emily Sartz-Lunde | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emily Sartz-Lunde (rating 1496 vs 1582).
- Note: Emily Sartz-Lunde makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Sara Milanese | Emily Sartz-Lunde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-9.3 | 11.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 59% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sara Milanese
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Polina Iatcenko W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Aya El Sayed W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Agata Prepslova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-0 | W |
| 31/05 | Alena Kovackova W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Vlada Mincheva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Hala Fouad W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Anna Hsu W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-1 | W |
| 06/05 | Tatiana Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Nada Fouad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sara Milanese vs Emily Sartz-Lunde?
Our model gives 68% to Emily Sartz-Lunde, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.