Tennis · W15 Monastir · 14/07, 13:00
Prediction: Matilde Mariani vs Margaux Komano
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Mariani
Margaux Komano
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Mariani
5-5 (W-L)
Margaux Komano
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Mariani 1522 · Margaux Komano 1490
| Matilde Mariani | Margaux Komano | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Matilde Mariani makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Margaux Komano makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Mariani | Margaux Komano | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.6 | 9-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 54.3% |
| Break % | 61.8% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Mariani
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Katja Wiersholm W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Summer Yardley W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 20/06 | Mariia Nozdrachova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/06 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Karla Popovic W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Margaux Komano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Emily Sartz-Lunde W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Benedetta Ortenzi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Alice Battesti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Emma Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 27/05 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Mariani vs Margaux Komano?
Our model gives 55% to Matilde Mariani, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.