Tennis · W15 Monastir · 14/07, 10:00
Prediction: Hania Abouelsaad vs Amelie Smejkalova
Prediction summary
Winner
Hania Abouelsaad
Amelie Smejkalova
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Hania Abouelsaad
4-6 (W-L)
Amelie Smejkalova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hania Abouelsaad 1463 · Amelie Smejkalova 1544
| Hania Abouelsaad | Amelie Smejkalova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Amelie Smejkalova (rating 1463 vs 1544).
- Amelie Smejkalova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Hania Abouelsaad makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Hania Abouelsaad | Amelie Smejkalova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.4 | 11.4-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 54.2% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 54.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hania Abouelsaad
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nada Fouad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Eliz Maloney W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 20/02 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-8 | L |
| 19/02 | Jeong Moon W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/02 | Siyoen Sim W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 17/02 | Kristina Belkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 11/02 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Sarafina Olivia Hansen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 12/11 | Sandra Samir W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/11 | Alisa Ziatdinova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Amelie Smejkalova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Justine Bretnacher W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Melisa Ercan W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Leilany Ipunesso W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 01/07 | Arina Yakusheva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Sophia Ksandinov W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-8 | W |
| 15/11 | Bella Payne ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/11 | Emma Charney ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 13/11 | Deniz Dilek ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 12/11 | Rinon Okuwaki ITF W15 Clemson · Hard |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hania Abouelsaad vs Amelie Smejkalova?
Our model gives 58% to Amelie Smejkalova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.