Tennis · M25 Skopje · 04/07, 13:00
Prediction: Vladyslav Orlov vs Stefan Popovic
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Vladyslav Orlov; the market gives 58% to Vladyslav Orlov (odds 1.61).
Over their last 10 matches, Vladyslav Orlov sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Stefan Popovic arrives on a 5-5 run.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vladyslav Orlov 1563 · Stefan Popovic 1557
| Vladyslav Orlov | Stefan Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vladyslav Orlov | Stefan Popovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-8.3 | 10.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 49% | 61.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vladyslav Orlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Petar Jovanovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Obrad Markovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Nikola Kolyachev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mateusz Miton M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 13/06 | Viacheslav Bielinskyi M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 12/06 | Alen Mujakic M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/06 | Peter Makk M15 Szentendre · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Stefan Popovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Vuk Radjenovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Gorazd Srbljak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Alexander Vasilev M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/05 | Edoardo Zanada M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/05 | Federico Valle M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/05 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 30/04 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Marco Furlanetto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 28/04 | Nicolas Parizzia M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vladyslav Orlov vs Stefan Popovic?
Our model gives 55% to Vladyslav Orlov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.