Tennis · M25 Skopje · 02/07, 17:00

Prediction: Kalin Ivanovski vs Liam Delicata

Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Liam Delicata; the market gives 81% to Kalin Ivanovski (odds 1.14).

Recent form leaves Kalin Ivanovski with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Liam Delicata has piled up 8-2 in the same span.

67%1
67% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kalin Ivanovski 1584 · Liam Delicata 1594
Kalin IvanovskiLiam Delicata
Our model49%51%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Kalin Ivanovski dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 42.7% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Kalin Ivanovski 1–0 Liam Delicata (1).

Statistics

Kalin IvanovskiLiam Delicata
Win %90%80%
Win % · Clay 83% (6) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.41.6-0.5
Games (G-P)12.9-9.111.6-6.7
Aces7.30.1
Double faults33.9
1st serve %80.2%64.6%
Break %42.7%53.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

H2H · Kalin Ivanovski 10 Liam Delicata (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kalin Ivanovski 10 Liam Delicata

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DateSetsGamesRes.
14/06/23
Davis Cup
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kalin Ivanovski

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/06 Khumoyun Sultanov
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
27/06 Bozo Barun
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 15-13 W
26/06 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
25/06 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 14-11 W
24/06 Jan Facek
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
13/06 Simon Knezevic
Davis Cup
2-0 12-6 W
12/06 Aleksandre Bakshi
Davis Cup
2-0 13-8 W
11/06 Doni Gashi
Davis Cup
2-0 13-9 W
10/06 Ilya Snitari
Davis Cup
2-1 16-10 W

Liam Delicata

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Sasa Markovic
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-1 18-17 W
30/06 Neil Saxer
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/06 Samvel Aghayan
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W
19/06 Vladimir Ristic
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W
18/06 Umberto Vanucci
Davis Cup
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Pablo Carrascosa
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Mario Zili
Davis Cup
2-0 12-3 W
19/05 Ilias Zimmermann
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
14/05 Johan Nikles
M25 Vic
0-2 7-13 L
12/05 Pablo Roche Alcaya
M25 Vic
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kalin Ivanovski vs Liam Delicata?

Our model gives 67% to Kalin Ivanovski, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.