Tennis · M25 Skopje · 04/07, 11:30
Prediction: Kalin Ivanovski vs Yanaki Milev
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 68% to Kalin Ivanovski; the market gives 66% to Kalin Ivanovski (odds 1.40).
On recent form, Kalin Ivanovski is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Yanaki Milev 3-7 over theirs.
67%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kalin Ivanovski 1598 · Yanaki Milev 1464
| Kalin Ivanovski | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalin Ivanovski (rating 1598 vs 1464).
- Kalin Ivanovski dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 42% break avg.
- Kalin Ivanovski is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Yanaki Milev makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Kalin Ivanovski | Yanaki Milev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 0.7-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-9.1 | 8.6-11.2 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 79.8% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 42% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kalin Ivanovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Liam Delicata M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Jan Facek M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Simon Knezevic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Aleksandre Bakshi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Yanaki Milev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Valentino Conte M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Francisco Tomas Geschwind M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Dylan Dietrich M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Nico Hipfl M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Enrico Dalla Valle M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 28/04 | Alessandro Battiston M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Pietro Marino M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kalin Ivanovski vs Yanaki Milev?
Our model gives 67% to Kalin Ivanovski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.