Tennis · M25 Skopje · 03/07, 11:30
Prediction: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alexander Weis
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Kalin Ivanovski; the market gives 54% to Kalin Ivanovski (odds 1.73).
On recent form, Kalin Ivanovski is 9-1 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Alexander Weis 9-1 over theirs.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kalin Ivanovski 1599 · Alexander Weis 1570
| Kalin Ivanovski | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Kalin Ivanovski dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 46.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Kalin Ivanovski | Alexander Weis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.3 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-8.8 | 11.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kalin Ivanovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Liam Delicata M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Jan Facek M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Simon Knezevic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Aleksandre Bakshi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/06 | Doni Gashi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alexander Weis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Kacper Szymkowiak M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Amar Huseinovikj M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Matyas Cerny Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/06 | Jan Kupcic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Andrin Casanova M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Khumoyun Sultanov M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Nicolo Toffanin M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kalin Ivanovski vs Alexander Weis?
Our model gives 54% to Kalin Ivanovski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.