Tennis · W15 Monastir · 04/07, 10:30
Prediction: Maria Andrienko vs Emily Sartz-Lunde
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Maria Andrienko; the market gives 56% to Emily Sartz-Lunde (odds 1.67).
On recent form, Maria Andrienko is 8-2 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Emily Sartz-Lunde 6-4 over theirs.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Andrienko 1561 · Emily Sartz-Lunde 1560
| Maria Andrienko | Emily Sartz-Lunde | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Emily Sartz-Lunde makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Maria Andrienko | Emily Sartz-Lunde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.2 | 11.4-9.1 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 63.6% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Andrienko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Nour Sahnoun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Sofia Camila Rojas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/07 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Talia Neilson Gatenby W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Yana Kim W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Lucie Pawlak W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Chloe Noel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Natalia Sousa Salazar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Alice Battesti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Emily Sartz-Lunde
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Nada Fouad W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Sarah Victoria Majesty Nita W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 26/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Mirabelle Tahiri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Doga Turkmen W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/05 | Duru Soke W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Ada Kumru W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/05 | Ingkar Dyussebay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Andrienko vs Emily Sartz-Lunde?
Our model gives 53% to Emily Sartz-Lunde, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.