Tennis · W15 Monastir · 11/07, 10:30
Prediction: Chelsea Fontenel vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Chelsea Fontenel
Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Chelsea Fontenel
7-3 (W-L)
Sofia Camila Rojas
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chelsea Fontenel 1562 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1605
| Chelsea Fontenel | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1562 vs 1605).
- Note: Sofia Camila Rojas makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Chelsea Fontenel | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 1.9-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.5 | 14.6-10.8 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.4% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelsea Fontenel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Aya El Sayed W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Sadjo Coulibaly W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Denise Valente W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Eva Vedder W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Lorena Solar Donoso W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Meritxell Teixido Garcia W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Laia Petretic W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/06 | Katherine Sebov W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Indianna Spink W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Maria Garcia W50 Guimaraes · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Sofia Camila Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Karla Bartel W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/01 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/01 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/01 | Hayden Mulberry UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/01 | Jo Yee Chan UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/01 | Olivia Cutone UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelsea Fontenel vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Our model gives 51% to Chelsea Fontenel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.