Tennis · W15 Monastir · 10/07, 12:00
Prediction: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Karla Bartel
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Sofia Camila Rojas; the market gives 56% to Sofia Camila Rojas (odds 1.67).
Recent form leaves Sofia Camila Rojas with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Karla Bartel has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Camila Rojas 1582 · Karla Bartel 1557
| Sofia Camila Rojas | Karla Bartel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sofia Camila Rojas makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Camila Rojas | Karla Bartel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-1 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-11.6 | 11.1-8 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 5.3 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 54.7% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Camila Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Tanisha Kashyap W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Amelie Smejkalova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Maria Andrienko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/01 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 10/01 | Kate Sharabura UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 09/01 | Hayden Mulberry UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 08/01 | Jo Yee Chan UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/01 | Olivia Cutone UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/01 | Kaitlyn Carnicella UTR Pro Athens Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Karla Bartel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Tamara Sramkova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Virginia Proietti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Arina Arifullina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Mia Wainwright W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Tinatini Mtvarelishvili W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Camila Rojas vs Karla Bartel?
Our model gives 55% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.