Tennis · W15 Monastir · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tamara Sramkova vs Karla Bartel
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Karla Bartel; the market gives 84% to Karla Bartel (odds 1.11).
Recent form leaves Tamara Sramkova with 1 wins and 9 losses over 10 games; Karla Bartel has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
74%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tamara Sramkova 1449 · Karla Bartel 1534
| Tamara Sramkova | Karla Bartel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karla Bartel (rating 1449 vs 1534).
- Karla Bartel is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tamara Sramkova | Karla Bartel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.2-11.9 | 9.9-8 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 45.2% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 28.5% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tamara Sramkova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Celeste Faustini W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Emese Serkedi W15 Mogyorod · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Petra Sedlackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Sara Oliveriusova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 04/06 | Ziva Falkner W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Korina Roso W15 Osijek · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Agustina Chlpac W35 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Vaishnavi Adkar W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Maileen Nuudi W15 Madrid |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/04 | Shannon Lam W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Karla Bartel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Virginia Proietti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Margaux Komano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Arina Arifullina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Alyssa Reguer W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Lourdes Ayala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Mia Wainwright W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Tinatini Mtvarelishvili W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/06 | Andre Lukosiute W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tamara Sramkova vs Karla Bartel?
Our model gives 74% to Karla Bartel, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.