Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Tuncay Duran
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 55% to Tuncay Duran; the market gives 61% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (odds 1.53).
Recent form leaves Mohamed Aziz Dougaz with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Tuncay Duran has piled up 8-2 in the same span.
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 6.8 aces and 53.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1–0 Tuncay Duran (1).
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-9.1 | 10.3-8.7 |
| Aces | 6.8 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 75.4% | 73.5% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 43.8% |
H2H · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1 – 0 Tuncay Duran (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1–0 Tuncay Duran
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/25 M25 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Clement Chidekh Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Rodrigo Fernandes M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Facundo Yunis M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/05 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Markus Molder M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Tuncay Duran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Kris Van Wyk Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Edison Ambarzumjan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Giulio Perego M15 Mbombela · ~Hard |
1-1 | 12-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Tuncay Duran?
Our model gives 54% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.