Tennis · M15 Monastir · 11/07, 10:30
Prediction: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Nicolas Robert
Prediction summary
Winner
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Nicolas Robert
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
5-5 (W-L)
Nicolas Robert
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
1–0
Nicolas Robert
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1599 · Nicolas Robert 1483
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Nicolas Robert | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (rating 1599 vs 1483).
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 40.3% break avg.
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1–0 Nicolas Robert (1).
- Note: Nicolas Robert makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | Nicolas Robert | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (7) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.9 | 10.3-11.6 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 74.7% | 62% |
| Break % | 40.3% | 47.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1 – 0 Nicolas Robert (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1–0 Nicolas Robert
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 M15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Felipe Virgili Berini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Clement Chidekh Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Nicolas Robert
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Yoshka Sborowsky M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/04 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mohamed Aziz Dougaz vs Nicolas Robert?
Our model gives 78% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.