Tennis · M15 Monastir · 10/07, 10:00
Prediction: Logan Zapp vs Tuncay Duran
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Logan Zapp; the market gives 81% to Tuncay Duran (odds 1.14).
Over their last 10 matches, Logan Zapp sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Tuncay Duran arrives on a 9-1 run.
66%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Logan Zapp 1583 · Tuncay Duran 1564
| Logan Zapp | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tuncay Duran dominates on serve: 7 aces and 48.8% break avg.
Statistics
| Logan Zapp | Tuncay Duran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.6 | 11.2-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 7 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.4% | 82.3% |
| Break % | 53.7% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Logan Zapp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Volodymyr Iakubenko M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 07/07 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Roger Pascual Ferra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Rayen Hermassi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexis Berquier M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Ludovico Vaccari M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/01 | Roan Jones UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/01 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/01 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Tuncay Duran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Kris Van Wyk Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Orel Kimhi Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Edison Ambarzumjan Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Logan Zapp vs Tuncay Duran?
Our model gives 66% to Tuncay Duran, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.