Tennis · M15 Monastir · 12/07, 10:30
Prediction: Tuncay Duran vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Tuncay Duran
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Tuncay Duran
10-0 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Tuncay Duran
0–2
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tuncay Duran 1592 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1618
| Tuncay Duran | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Tuncay Duran dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 49.2% break avg.
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Tuncay Duran 0–2 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (2).
Statistics
| Tuncay Duran | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 100% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-8.5 | 12.7-7.9 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 82.7% | 77.4% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Tuncay Duran 0 – 2 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tuncay Duran 0–2 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/26 M15 Monastir | 1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/06/25 M25 Monastir | 0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tuncay Duran
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Paul Barbier Gazeu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Logan Zapp M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Karim Mabrouk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 03/07 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Mathys Picard M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 05/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Alec Beckley Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/06 | Kris Van Wyk Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/05 | Stefan Vujic Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Felipe Virgili Berini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Sean Daryabeigi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 05/07 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 04/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 03/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Nicolas Robert M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Rei Sakamoto Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Clement Chidekh Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tuncay Duran vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 62% to Mohamed Aziz Dougaz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.