Tennis · M15 Monastir · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Egor Pleshivtsev vs Roan Jones
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Roan Jones; the market gives 59% to Egor Pleshivtsev (odds 1.57).
Over their last 10 matches, Egor Pleshivtsev sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Roan Jones arrives on a 7-3 run.
50%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Egor Pleshivtsev 1510 · Roan Jones 1594
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Roan Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roan Jones (rating 1510 vs 1594).
- Roan Jones is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Egor Pleshivtsev | Roan Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.4 | 12.5-7.5 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 72% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 56.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Egor Pleshivtsev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 17/06 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 02/06 | Jan Wygona M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/05 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/05 | William Rejchtman Vinciguerra M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/04 | James McCabe M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Yaoyu Yang M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/04 | Tonghan Gu M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 31/03 | Mikalai Haliak M25 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Roan Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ibrahim Snoussi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Giulio Stella M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/01 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/01 | Logan Zapp UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/01 | Zen David Uehling UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/01 | Muyang Yi UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 15/01 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/01 | Volodymyr Gurenko UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 13/08 | Adam Nagoudi M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Egor Pleshivtsev vs Roan Jones?
Our model gives 50% to Egor Pleshivtsev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.