Tennis · W15 Monastir · 03/07, 10:30

Prediction: Esther Adeshina vs Eliz Maloney

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 50% to Esther Adeshina; the market gives 54% to Esther Adeshina (odds 1.73).

Recent form leaves Esther Adeshina with 6 wins and 4 losses over 10 games; Eliz Maloney has piled up 8-2 in the same span.

52%1
52% 48%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Esther Adeshina 1546 · Eliz Maloney 1544
Esther AdeshinaEliz Maloney
Our model50%50%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Esther Adeshina makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Esther AdeshinaEliz Maloney
Win %60%70%
Win % · Hard 75% (4) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.6-0.8
Games (G-P)10.2-9.612.4-8.3
Aces1.72.4
Double faults5.33.8
1st serve %62.9%69.6%
Break %51.4%49.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Esther Adeshina

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Daniela Darta Feldmane
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
01/07 Tanisha Kashyap
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W
24/06 Harmony Tan
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
23/06 Moyuka Uchijima
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 16-12 W
04/06 Katarina Kuzmova
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/06 Carla Tomai
W50 Montemor-o-Novo · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
14/05 Malene Helgo
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
1-2 13-16 L
13/05 Aya El Sayed
W35 Hurghada · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
08/05 Alicia Dudeney
W35 Nottingham
0-2 2-12 L
07/05 Lilian Poling
W35 Nottingham
2-0 12-6 W

Eliz Maloney

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/07 Chahd Tourkhani
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Hania Abouelsaad
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
08/05 Emily Appleton
W35 Nottingham
1-2 17-19 L
07/05 Vaishnavi Adkar
W35 Nottingham
2-1 17-14 W
06/05 Mia Wainwright
W35 Nottingham
2-0 12-2 W
04/05 Zainab Williams
W35 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-2 W
04/05 Olivia Gram
W35 Nottingham Qual
2-0 12-1 W
19/04 Solymar Colling
W50 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 11-12 L
10/04 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-1 1-6 L
09/04 Anna Kubareva
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Esther Adeshina vs Eliz Maloney?

Our model gives 52% to Esther Adeshina, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.